Weekly Stock Market Outlook (05 – 09 May 2025)

The first week of May 2025 opens under a cautious sky. Astrologically, Pluto remains in retrograde from May 5 onward, often reflecting underlying global instability and hidden power struggles. At the same time, real-world tensions between India and Pakistan have significantly escalated following the tragic April 22 Kashmir attack, which left 26 civilians dead. The diplomatic and military friction that followed—including increased troop movement near borders, airspace closures, and water treaty disputes—has triggered heightened geopolitical risk in the region.

From a market psychology standpoint, such geopolitical unrest can influence investor sentiment negatively, particularly in sensitive sectors like defense, energy, and infrastructure. Combined with volatile planetary combinations—like Moon’s conjunction with Ketu and vedhas from multiple malefics observed in Sarvato Bhadra Chakra—the astrological outlook for this week also hints at indecision and heightened volatility.

While some intraday bullish opportunities may arise (especially around May 7–9), the broader tone appears cautious to mildly bearish during the initial days of the week. Traders are advised to be prudent, hedge positions when needed, and stay alert to both planetary signals and real-world developments.

Our forecast combines:

  • Moon’s Nakshatra-based astrology (KP)
  • Planetary aspects (Trines, Oppositions, Retrogrades)
  • Sarvato Bhadra Chakra (SBC) vedha patterns

A drop in the sentiment is seen on the Mercury line chart.


📅 Monday – 05 May 2025

🌙 Moon in Ashlesha → Magha | ♋ Cancer → ♌ Leo

  • Pluto turns retrograde — a major outer planet shift that can slow momentum and trigger market hesitation, particularly in banking and energy sectors.
  • Morning Nakshatra (Ashlesha) is volatile and potentially confusing.
  • In the second half, Moon transitions into Magha (Leo), a more confident sign, yet with bearish Nakshatra tendencies.
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SBC Insight:

  • No Moon vedha in AM; Sun vedha in PM indicates late-day strength possible.

Cautionary Note:

  • Initial sessions may see hesitation or a weak start. Intraday recovery could occur after 1 PM, but clarity might be lacking.

🔍 Bias Outlook:

  • AM: Mildly Bearish
  • PM: Range-bound to Slight Recovery

📅 Tuesday – 06 May 2025

🌙 Moon in Magha (Leo)

  • Despite Leo’s generally bullish nature, Magha Nakshatra tends to behave contrarian, especially under the ongoing Pluto retrograde.
  • Moon’s connection with Mars (semi-sextile) and Mercury (semi-quadrate) may introduce tension or miscommunication, leading to choppy intraday trends.

SBC Insight:

  • Vedha by the Sun throughout the day implies non-linear movement; sectors may rotate in strength.

Cautionary Note:

  • The day is likely to stay range-bound to volatile. Best for short-term, reactive trades rather than directional bets.

🔍 Bias Outlook:

  • AM: Flat to Mildly Positive
  • PM: Weak close possible

📅 Wednesday – 07 May 2025

🌙 Moon in Purva Phalguni (Leo)

  • This is technically the strongest lunar position of the week. Purva Phalguni, governed by Venus, benefits from its direct motion and aspect with Pluto (sextile) and Sun (semi-square).
  • Additionally, Mercury shifts to Aries, which could energize communication stocks and fast-moving sectors.

SBC Insight:

  • Moon vedha by Mercury supports a bullish bias, especially midday.

Cautionary Note:

  • Though positive trends are supported, global cues and profit-booking pressure may cap upside late in the day.

🔍 Bias Outlook:

  • AM: Gradual Upside
  • PM: Momentum likely to continue, but monitor volume tapering

📅 Thursday – 08 May 2025

🌙 Moon in Uttara Phalguni (Virgo)

  • This day carries mixed energy. While Virgo Moon adds analytical depth, conjunction with Ketu and opposition from Saturn & Rahu suggests unexpected volatility, especially in sectors tied to foreign investments or compliance-heavy industries.
  • Sun (Nakshatra lord) remains exalted, offering some support.
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SBC Insight:

  • Moon–Ketu conjunction points to unusual behavior or reversal zones, often observed during weekly expiry sessions.

Cautionary Note:

  • Expect intraday spikes—sudden upward movements—but not necessarily a stable uptrend. Tight stop-loss strategy is essential.

🔍 Bias Outlook:

  • AM: Bullish spike possible
  • PM: Volatility with potential fade

📅 Friday – 09 May 2025

🌙 Moon in Hasta (Virgo)

  • Hasta Nakshatra tends to support disciplined, structured sectors (like pharma, FMCG, or IT).
  • The Moon is aspected by Uranus and Mars, which might inject surprise moves early in the day.
  • However, Vedha by Saturn, Venus, and Neptune increases the chance of late-day exhaustion or confusion.

SBC Insight:

  • Multiple vedhas suggest high volatility, especially after mid-session.

Cautionary Note:

  • Early morning trades may yield results, but holding positions into the close might be risky.

🔍 Bias Outlook:

  • AM: Moderate Bullish
  • PM: Watch for reversal or profit booking

📊 Weekly Summary Table

DateGeneral BiasIntraday RisksComment
05 MayCautious Bullish (PM)Weak start, Pluto Retrograde effectWatch for late reversal
06 MayVolatileContradictory signals, low clarityPrefer scalping
07 MayBullishSlight fade possible lateStrongest day of the week
08 MayVolatileKetu conjunction, expiry impactIntraday spikes possible
09 MayMixedHigh vedha activityEarly entry, avoid late trades

Technical Analysis of Nifty and Bank Nifty

BankNifty has shown a pattern of Higher High, which means an uptrend is on the cards. But due to the tension between India – Pakistan, it may test the level of 51,800 – 52,900.

Similarly, Nifty 50 can also test the level of 23,300. Keep an eye on the levels.

🛡️ Final Advisory:

“Pluto’s retrograde may dampen major bullish trends or delay breakout confirmations.”

  • Since Pluto (a slow-moving outer planet) is now moving backward (retrograde) from May 5th, it can create hidden resistance, slow down momentum, and make the market hesitant to follow through on any strong upward movements.
  • So even if indicators look positive, the market may not break out strongly—delays or reversals are possible.

“Wednesday remains the most favorable day for momentum trades.”

  • Based on planetary aspects (especially Venus influence, Moon position, and Mercury’s sign change), 7th May looks like the best day for a clear and stronger upward movement.
  • This day has fewer conflicting signals, so it’s a relatively safe day for active trades.

“Maintain tight stop-losses and avoid over-leveraging.”

  • Given the presence of volatility, vedhas, and conjunctions, especially with outer planets involved, the market can behave unpredictably.
  • So the advice is to:
    • Use stop-losses (predefined risk levels).
    • Avoid putting too much capital or margin into a single trade.

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