Bullish Week Ahead? Weekly Market Analysis: March 3 – March 7, 2025

Market Overview

The Indian stock market has faced persistent volatility, with key indices showing signs of weakness. As of February 28, 2025, the Nifty 50 closed at 22,124.70, reflecting a 1.86% decline, while Bank Nifty settled at 48,344.70, down by 0.82%. This marks a significant downturn, continuing the market’s bearish trend for the fifth consecutive month—the longest losing streak since 1996.

Several factors have contributed to this ongoing market decline, including weak corporate earnings, continued foreign investor outflows, and global trade tensions. The Nifty 50 has lost nearly 15% from its peak in September 2024, resulting in a $1 trillion reduction in investor wealth. Despite this, certain financial stocks, particularly NBFCs and microfinance institutions, saw an uptick following the RBI’s easing of lending regulations.

Additionally, the break of the critical 22,500 support level in Nifty 50 is concerning. The long-term weekly trendline, which held strong during previous dips on June 13, 2022, March 20, 2023, and October 30, 2023, has now been broken. On those occasions, the market rebounded from oversold RSI and Stochastic levels, but will history repeat this time?

Upcoming Market Trends & Gann Analysis

The coming week is expected to be crucial, with significant Gann Pressure Dates on March 5, 2025, for both Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty. These dates often indicate potential market reversals or high volatility.

Nifty 50 Key Levels:

• Resistance Levels: 22,500 / 23,300 / 24,100
• Support Levels: 21,800 / 21,100 / 20,400

Bank Nifty Key Levels:

• Resistance Levels: 48,500 / 49,600 / 50,700
• Support Levels: 47,400 / 46,300 / 45,200

With the upcoming Venus retrograde on March 2, astrological influences indicate a mix of market trends. The week may start neutral to slightly bearish, but a bullish reversal is expected in the second half of the week.

Astro-Financial Outlook for the Week

Based on astrological alignments:

• March 3, 2025 (Monday): Market may open neutral but turn positive in the second half. Moon in Aries (Ashwini Nakshatra) supports bullish sentiment.
• March 4, 2025 (Tuesday): Slightly bearish in the first half, with a positive reversal later. Moon in Aries (Bharani Nakshatra) influenced by Venus suggests mixed sentiment.
• March 5, 2025 (Wednesday – Gann Pressure Date): High volatility expected, likely a bullish trend. Moon in Taurus (Krittika Nakshatra) with strong Jupiter aspects supports a rebound.
• March 6, 2025 (Thursday): Positive sentiment, with stronger bullish momentum in the second half. Moon in Taurus (Rohini Nakshatra) conjunct Jupiter and Venus indicates strong gains.
• March 7, 2025 (Friday): Overall positive, but profit booking in the second half. Moon in Gemini (Mrigashira Nakshatra) influenced by Mars and Saturn suggests cautious optimism.

Conclusion

Given the market’s prolonged bearish trend, investors should remain cautious. Gann levels, astrology, and technical indicators suggest a potential bullish shift midweek, but volatility remains high. Traders should watch March 5 closely, as it may bring a significant market movement.