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Stock Market Forecast for February 19, 2025

February 19, 2025, promises heightened market activity and volatility. The Moon begins the day in Swati Nakshatra in Libra, bringing two-way price action in the morning. As the second half progresses, the influence of Vishakha Nakshatra and Jupiter’s aspects from its enemy planets could shift the market toward bearish sentiment. This detailed analysis covers astrological influences, support and resistance levels, and key daily trading strategies.


Astrological Market Analysis for February 19, 2025

1st Half (Morning Session)

  • Moon’s Position: Libra sign, Swati Nakshatra, Pada-4
  • Nakshatra Lord: Rahu
  • Aspects: Rahu is influenced by Uranus, Neptune, and Pluto. Moon is trine aspected by Mars and Mercury.
  • Market Impact:
    • Mars and Saturn’s trine aspect on the Moon could lead to bullish attempts.
    • Expect a mix of upward price swings and volatility due to Rahu’s unpredictable nature.
    • Traders should remain cautious, as rapid price movements can occur.

2nd Half (Afternoon Session)

  • Moon’s Position: Libra sign, Vishakha Nakshatra, Pada-1
  • Nakshatra Lord: Jupiter
  • Aspects: Jupiter is aspected by Venus and Mercury, both enemy planets. Moon is trine aspected by Mars and Saturn.
  • Market Impact:
    • Despite Saturn and Mars’s aspects providing some bullish support, Jupiter’s influence from its enemies, Venus and Mercury, is more dominant.
    • This aspect increases the likelihood of bearish sentiment in the second half.
    • Expect selling pressure to increase as the session progresses.

Important Intraday Timing for February 19, 2025

  • 10:30 AM – 11:30 AM: Possible price swings or trend reversals.
  • Afternoon: Watch for increased bearish sentiment, especially in the last hour.

Key Support & Resistance Levels

Nifty 50 Levels for February 19, 2025

  • Resistance-1: ₹23,300
  • Resistance-2: ₹24,100
  • Resistance-3: ₹24,900
  • Resistance-4: ₹25,700
  • Resistance-5: ₹26,500
  • Resistance-6: ₹27,300
  • Support-1: ₹22,500
  • Support-2: ₹21,800
  • Support-3: ₹21,100
  • Support-4: ₹20,400
  • Support-5: ₹19,700
  • Support-6: ₹19,000
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Bank Nifty Levels for February 19, 2025

  • Resistance-1: ₹49,600
  • Resistance-2: ₹50,700
  • Resistance-3: ₹51,800
  • Resistance-4: ₹52,900
  • Resistance-5: ₹54,100
  • Resistance-6: ₹55,300
  • Support-1: ₹48,500
  • Support-2: ₹47,400
  • Support-3: ₹46,300
  • Support-4: ₹45,200
  • Support-5: ₹44,100
  • Support-6: ₹43,100

Technical Indicator Analysis

📊 Moving Averages

  • Nifty: Price needs to stay above the 50-day Moving Average (DMA) to maintain any bullish sentiment. A breakdown below this level could confirm bearish momentum.
  • Bank Nifty: A close below the 200-day DMA could trigger further selling pressure.

📊 RSI (Relative Strength Index)

  • Nifty: RSI below 40 confirms bearish pressure.
  • Bank Nifty: Monitor for RSI drops below 40 as an early signal of selling momentum.

📊 MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)

  • A bearish crossover in MACD during the second half could confirm breakdowns.

Trading Strategy for February 19, 2025

Long Positions

  • Nifty: Buy above ₹24,900 for targets of ₹25,700 and ₹26,500.
  • Bank Nifty: Buy above ₹51,800 for a target of ₹52,900.
  • Stop Loss: Set stop losses at ₹22,500 for Nifty and ₹48,500 for Bank Nifty to limit downside risk.

Short Positions

  • Nifty: Sell below ₹22,500 for downside targets of ₹21,800 and ₹21,100.
  • Bank Nifty: Sell below ₹48,500 for a target of ₹47,400.
  • Stop Loss: Place stop losses at ₹23,300 for Nifty and ₹49,600 for Bank Nifty.

Conclusion

February 19, 2025, is expected to bring a mix of market volatility and potential bearish momentum in the second half.

  • Morning Session: Potential bullish attempts with two-way price swings.
  • Afternoon Session: Bearish sentiment likely due to Jupiter’s aspect from its enemy planets, Venus and Mercury.
  • Important Time: Watch for possible trend shifts between 10:30 AM and 11:30 AM.
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